Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.8%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Stepan
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Stepan
Scheifele
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Stepan
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
4
Stepan
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
48.5% (631)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
67.2% (61)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
33.3% (15)
-3.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Stepan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Stepan shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Stepan
Scheifele
Home
46.0% (113)
52.0% (358)
Away
53.1% (147)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Stepan
Scheifele
P1
48.5%
46.3%
P2
49.4%
50.9%
P3
52.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |