Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.8%). Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 37 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 46-40 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 64.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 56.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Stepan
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
40
(86 meetings)
46
40
Stepan
Scheifele
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
9
13
Stepan
Scheifele
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
14
13
Stepan
Scheifele
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
23
14
Stepan
Scheifele
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
46.3% (12,036)
+0.2%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.2% (2,563)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.6% (598)
+2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Stepan
Scheifele
Home
47.6% (6,608)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Stepan
Scheifele
P1
47.5%
48.2%
P2
45.6%
45.6%
P3
46.8%
46.8%
OT
40.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
47.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |