Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Stepan
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
47.8% (960)
+7.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
47.0% (219)
-47.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
60.7% (28)
-9.9%
On power play, Scheifele has a +47.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Stepan
Scheifele
Home
57.7% (213)
50.7% (611)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Stepan
Scheifele
P1
56.3%
51.4%
P2
48.9%
47.3%
P3
57.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%