Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 79.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.2%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Stepan
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
49.3% (649)
+5.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.7% (183)
-55.7%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
50.0% (16)
+14.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Stepan
Scheifele
Home
54.5% (222)
52.3% (440)
Away
57.2% (222)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Stepan
Scheifele
P1
57.5%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
55.9%
51.4%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%