Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Stepan wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Zibanejad 48.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 81.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 80.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Stepan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Stepan
Zibanejad
Last 10: Stepan 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Stepan
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
1
Stepan
Zibanejad
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
1
Stepan
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
49.1% (1,031)
-5.6%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
47.5% (200)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
46.7% (30)
-3.7%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Stepan shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zibanejad
Home
45.6% (629)
52.0% (658)
Away
42.5% (603)
45.3% (603)
By Period
Stepan
Zibanejad
P1
44.7%
48.0%
P2
43.7%
53.2%
P3
43.9%
45.8%
OT
40.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |