Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Stepan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Stepan
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
50.1% (1,051)
+5.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.3% (120)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
41.9% (227)
+8.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zibanejad
Home
57.7% (213)
49.0% (681)
Away
50.7% (209)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Stepan
Zibanejad
P1
56.3%
49.9%
P2
48.9%
47.6%
P3
57.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |