Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Stepan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
54.0% (955)
+0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.6% (243)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
35.0% (140)
+29.7%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zibanejad
Home
54.5% (222)
55.2% (656)
Away
57.2% (222)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Stepan
Zibanejad
P1
57.5%
56.3%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
55.9%
51.2%
Final 5 min
57.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |