Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 32-26 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 67.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 61.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Stepan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
32
(58 meetings)
26
32
Stepan
Zibanejad
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
12
Stepan
Zibanejad
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
15
12
Stepan
Zibanejad
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
8
Stepan
Zibanejad
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
50.9% (11,719)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.2% (1,849)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.5% (1,790)
+2.7%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zibanejad
Home
47.6% (6,608)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Stepan
Zibanejad
P1
47.5%
50.4%
P2
45.6%
49.7%
P3
46.8%
49.8%
OT
40.7%
48.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 03:07 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |