Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stepan wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Zibanejad 50.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 64.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 71.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 66.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Stepan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Stepan
Zibanejad
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Stepan
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Stepan
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
50.8% (1,073)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
52.5% (118)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
45.2% (115)
+2.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stepan is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Stepan shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zibanejad
Home
47.7% (555)
52.9% (682)
Away
45.6% (548)
47.8% (624)
By Period
Stepan
Zibanejad
P1
46.4%
47.5%
P2
45.7%
52.8%
P3
48.5%
51.4%
OT
35.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |