Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.9% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.4%
Neutral zone
Stepan 64.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Stepan
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Stepan
Zibanejad
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
5
Stepan
Zibanejad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Stepan
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Stepan
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,210)
52.7% (938)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
49.3% (225)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (108)
39.5% (124)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Stepan is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Stepan shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Stepan
Zibanejad
Home
48.2% (761)
54.9% (594)
Away
47.3% (789)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Stepan
Zibanejad
P1
46.3%
50.1%
P2
50.4%
49.0%
P3
46.3%
53.0%
OT
55.2%
52.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |