Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 47.3%). Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Backlund 47.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 50.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Stepan
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Stepan
Backlund
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Stepan
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Stepan
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
47.3% (630)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
48.5% (66)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
46.3% (82)
-1.1%
On power play, Stepan has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Backlund is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Stepan
Backlund
Home
50.4% (560)
50.4% (347)
Away
45.1% (637)
44.8% (431)
By Period
Stepan
Backlund
P1
47.4%
46.7%
P2
47.0%
44.9%
P3
48.1%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |