Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Kadri 45.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 63.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 60.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 62.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Stepan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Kadri
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Stepan
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Stepan
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
44.8% (524)
+3.2%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
37.8% (37)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
25.0% (4)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Kadri is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kadri
Home
47.4% (460)
42.9% (310)
Away
44.5% (517)
45.9% (255)
By Period
Stepan
Kadri
P1
50.3%
41.0%
P2
38.4%
49.7%
P3
49.4%
43.2%
OT
27.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
38.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | OT | 02:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 06:25 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |