Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Kadri 49.7% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Stepan
Kadri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
50.2% (849)
+4.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.6% (235)
-50.6%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
43.0% (93)
+21.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Kadri is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kadri
Home
54.5% (222)
48.5% (557)
Away
57.2% (222)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Stepan
Kadri
P1
57.5%
49.5%
P2
54.7%
51.3%
P3
55.9%
47.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%