Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Kadri 48.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 55-30 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stepan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
55
(85 meetings)
30
55
Stepan
Kadri
Last 10: Stepan 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
14
20
Stepan
Kadri
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
16
Stepan
Kadri
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
19
Stepan
Kadri
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.2% (12,510)
-1.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
53.0% (1,892)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.0% (293)
+3.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kadri
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Stepan
Kadri
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
45.6%
48.8%
P3
46.8%
48.0%
OT
40.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |