Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 44.5% vs Kadri 46.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 53.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stepan
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Stepan
Kadri
Last 10: Stepan 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stepan
Kadri
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
6
Stepan
Kadri
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Stepan
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (942)
47.2% (1,015)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.1% (162)
41.1% (112)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (128)
17.6% (17)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Stepan shoots right. Kadri is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kadri
Home
45.6% (629)
45.4% (573)
Away
42.5% (603)
46.9% (571)
By Period
Stepan
Kadri
P1
44.7%
48.9%
P2
43.7%
45.2%
P3
43.9%
43.4%
OT
40.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |