Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Cousins 43.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 60.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 69.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 70.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Stepan
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stepan
Cousins
Last 8: Stepan 5-3 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
2
Stepan
Cousins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Cousins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
39.6% (202)
+8.6%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
57.1% (14)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
100.0% (1)
-62.1%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +62.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Cousins is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cousins
Home
46.4% (774)
35.9% (117)
Away
47.7% (748)
47.0% (100)
By Period
Stepan
Cousins
P1
46.7%
41.3%
P2
46.3%
47.3%
P3
48.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |