Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Cousins 45.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 55.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 67.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Stepan
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Stepan
Cousins
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
4
Stepan
Cousins
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
Cousins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Cousins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
44.9% (1,508)
+1.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
44.6% (101)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
42.9% (7)
+1.3%
On power play, Stepan has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Cousins is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cousins
Home
47.6% (6,608)
46.7% (809)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Stepan
Cousins
P1
47.5%
47.5%
P2
45.6%
43.6%
P3
46.8%
43.6%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |