Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Cousins 49.6% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Cousins 59.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Stepan
Cousins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.3% (140)
+6.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
66.7% (3)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Cousins has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Cousins is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cousins
Home
57.7% (213)
51.8% (83)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.9% (61)
By Period
Stepan
Cousins
P1
56.3%
52.9%
P2
48.9%
35.6%
P3
57.1%
58.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.3%