Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Cousins 49.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 68.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 57.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Stepan
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stepan
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
1
Stepan
Cousins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
47.4% (38)
+7.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.5% (11)
-45.5%
On power play, Cousins has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Cousins is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cousins
Home
54.5% (222)
50.0% (20)
Away
57.2% (222)
44.8% (29)
By Period
Stepan
Cousins
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
52.6%
P3
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.5%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |