Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Foligno 49.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 85.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 60.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Stepan
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Stepan
Foligno
Last 7: Stepan 2-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Stepan
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Stepan
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
47.0% (202)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
57.9% (95)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
40.9% (22)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
50.4% (560)
50.6% (162)
Away
45.1% (637)
49.0% (157)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
47.4%
48.9%
P2
47.0%
47.8%
P3
48.1%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |