Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.4%). Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Foligno 51.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 51.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 65.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Stepan
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stepan
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
58.1% (31)
-3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
50.0% (6)
+14.7%
On power play, Foligno has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
54.5% (222)
56.3% (16)
Away
57.2% (222)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
66.7%
P3
55.9%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |