Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 58.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Stepan
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Stepan
Foligno
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
6
Stepan
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
3
Stepan
Foligno
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
48.3% (2,810)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
52.3% (730)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
44.0% (455)
+0.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
47.5%
47.6%
P2
45.6%
50.4%
P3
46.8%
48.3%
OT
40.7%
29.7%
Final 5 min
47.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 6, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |