Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Foligno 52.3% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 50.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 56.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 57.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Stepan
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
52.0% (50)
+3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
66.7% (21)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Stepan
Foligno
Home
57.7% (213)
51.2% (41)
Away
50.7% (209)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Stepan
Foligno
P1
56.3%
55.6%
P2
48.9%
48.0%
P3
57.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%