Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Stepan
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Stepan
Schmaltz
Last 10: Stepan 4-6 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
2
Stepan
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
5
Stepan
Schmaltz
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
41.1% (3,218)
+5.4%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
47.3% (637)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
47.2% (125)
-3.0%
On even strength, Stepan has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Stepan
Schmaltz
Home
47.6% (6,608)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Stepan
Schmaltz
P1
47.5%
41.1%
P2
45.6%
42.6%
P3
46.8%
43.0%
OT
40.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |