Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+14.3%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 73.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 76.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stepan
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
37.7% (53)
+17.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
66.7% (3)
-15.9%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Stepan
Schmaltz
Home
57.7% (213)
34.7% (49)
Away
50.7% (209)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Stepan
Schmaltz
P1
56.3%
25.9%
P2
48.9%
46.2%
P3
57.1%
42.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%