Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +55.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Cates 46.7% (+55.9%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Stepan
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
0.0% (6)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
0.0% (1)
+64.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Cates is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cates
Home
54.5% (222)
0.0% (5)
Away
57.2% (222)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Stepan
Cates
P1
57.5%
0.0%
P2
54.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%