Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Johansen 58.2% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 70.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Stepan
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
59.8% (625)
-4.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
58.2% (196)
-58.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
51.9% (27)
-1.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Stepan
Johansen
Home
57.7% (213)
60.3% (436)
Away
50.7% (209)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Stepan
Johansen
P1
56.3%
61.3%
P2
48.9%
60.4%
P3
57.1%
56.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%