Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Stepan
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
56.1% (690)
-0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
64.6% (96)
-64.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
45.9% (109)
+4.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +64.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Stepan
O'Reilly
Home
57.7% (213)
58.3% (408)
Away
50.7% (209)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Stepan
O'Reilly
P1
56.3%
57.7%
P2
48.9%
54.8%
P3
57.1%
55.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%