Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Nosek 58.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 82.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 74.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Stepan
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Stepan
Nosek
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Stepan
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
1
Stepan
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
59.7% (469)
-4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
100.0% (4)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
56.5% (124)
-5.7%
On power play, Nosek has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nosek
Home
57.7% (213)
59.0% (295)
Away
50.7% (209)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Stepan
Nosek
P1
56.3%
56.3%
P2
48.9%
61.9%
P3
57.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |