Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 56.0%). Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Stepan
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stepan
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
56.5% (712)
-2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
59.7% (67)
-59.7%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
44.9% (49)
+19.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Stepan
Seguin
Home
54.5% (222)
58.5% (402)
Away
57.2% (222)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Stepan
Seguin
P1
57.5%
58.4%
P2
54.7%
54.7%
P3
55.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |