Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Seguin 54.2% (-0.4%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 54.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Stepan
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
55.0% (713)
+0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.7% (104)
-56.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
47.2% (53)
+3.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Stepan
Seguin
Home
57.7% (213)
56.2% (443)
Away
50.7% (209)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Stepan
Seguin
P1
56.3%
54.2%
P2
48.9%
52.9%
P3
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%