Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Brassard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Carter 52.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 64.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 76.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 83.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Brassard
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Brassard
Carter
Last 10: Brassard 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
1
Brassard
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
51.5% (934)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
58.5% (164)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
52.6% (95)
-1.1%
On power play, Carter has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Brassard shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carter
Home
51.7% (689)
55.1% (554)
Away
45.9% (687)
50.4% (639)
By Period
Brassard
Carter
P1
48.1%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
52.1%
P3
45.9%
54.8%
OT
52.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |