Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Carter 56.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 76.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 54.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 60.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Brassard
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brassard
Carter
Last 5: Brassard 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Brassard
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
57.9% (885)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
61.7% (133)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.4% (119)
+4.6%
On power play, Carter has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carter
Home
52.1% (211)
58.2% (543)
Away
49.6% (119)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Brassard
Carter
P1
47.3%
57.5%
P2
56.6%
57.1%
P3
47.8%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |