Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Carter 58.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 72.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.3%
Neutral zone
Brassard 64.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Brassard
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Brassard
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Brassard
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
59.7% (727)
-10.1%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
68.1% (72)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
53.2% (139)
-3.2%
On power play, Carter has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carter
Home
51.7% (143)
58.7% (455)
Away
48.3% (143)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Brassard
Carter
P1
46.4%
61.3%
P2
50.6%
57.1%
P3
53.9%
59.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |