Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 30-30 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 62.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Brassard
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
30
(60 meetings)
30
30
Brassard
Carter
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
10
13
Brassard
Carter
23 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
Brassard
Carter
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
10
7
Brassard
Carter
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
53.3% (8,728)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
57.3% (1,554)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
46.3% (1,087)
+4.0%
On power play, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Brassard
Carter
Home
50.6% (5,020)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Brassard
Carter
P1
49.0%
53.6%
P2
49.8%
52.8%
P3
48.4%
53.1%
OT
51.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |