Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Pavelski 53.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 52.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 51.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Brassard
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Brassard
Pavelski
Last 6: Brassard 3-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
1
Brassard
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Brassard
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
54.4% (474)
+1.0%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
51.9% (104)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
52.7% (74)
+22.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pavelski
Home
52.3% (174)
54.3% (313)
Away
57.9% (183)
53.4% (339)
By Period
Brassard
Pavelski
P1
47.1%
51.0%
P2
60.6%
51.9%
P3
57.4%
58.1%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |