Derick Brassard vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 32-20 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 77.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 86.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 84.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Brassard
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
32
(52 meetings)
20
32
Brassard
Pavelski
Last 10: Brassard 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
10
8
Brassard
Pavelski
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
17
Brassard
Pavelski
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
7
Brassard
Pavelski
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
53.6% (8,791)
-4.9%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
58.2% (2,122)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
50.9% (1,138)
-0.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pavelski
Home
50.6% (5,020)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Brassard
Pavelski
P1
49.0%
53.5%
P2
49.8%
55.2%
P3
48.4%
53.9%
OT
51.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:02 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |