Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 50.2%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Brassard
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
52.5% (570)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
54.5% (145)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.4% (36)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Brassard is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Brassard shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Brassard
Pavelski
Home
52.1% (211)
55.0% (391)
Away
49.6% (119)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Brassard
Pavelski
P1
47.3%
50.8%
P2
56.6%
55.0%
P3
47.8%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%