Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.9% vs Duchene 52.8% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 74.5%
Neutral zone
Brassard 52.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Brassard
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (287)
46.9% (162)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
73.2% (56)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Brassard shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Brassard
Duchene
Home
52.1% (211)
58.4% (125)
Away
49.6% (119)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Brassard
Duchene
P1
47.3%
56.9%
P2
56.6%
52.5%
P3
47.8%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%