Derick Brassard vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 37-28 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 66.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 71.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 73.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Brassard
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
37
(65 meetings)
28
37
Brassard
Duchene
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
15
12
Brassard
Duchene
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
10
Brassard
Duchene
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
15
Brassard
Duchene
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
49.1% (468)
+1.2%
On even strength, Duchene has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Brassard shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Brassard
Duchene
Home
50.6% (5,020)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Brassard
Duchene
P1
49.0%
54.5%
P2
49.8%
54.5%
P3
48.4%
53.4%
OT
51.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |