Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Brassard wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Duchene 52.1% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 80.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 54.5%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Brassard
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
53.9% (193)
-4.3%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
49.2% (65)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Brassard shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Brassard
Duchene
Home
51.7% (143)
54.9% (113)
Away
48.3% (143)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Brassard
Duchene
P1
46.4%
54.9%
P2
50.6%
52.7%
P3
53.9%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%