Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.4% vs Dowd 51.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 54.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Brassard
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brassard
Dowd
Last 6: Brassard 4-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brassard
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Brassard
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
3
0
Brassard
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (517)
51.2% (381)
-2.5%
Power Play
39.0% (59)
100.0% (2)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
53.9% (89)
+12.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Brassard is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Brassard shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Brassard
Dowd
Home
50.9% (348)
54.6% (218)
Away
44.2% (240)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Brassard
Dowd
P1
48.0%
50.6%
P2
47.3%
55.1%
P3
48.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |