Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 49.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 82.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Brassard
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Brassard
Dowd
Last 10: Brassard 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Brassard
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
6
Brassard
Dowd
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
7
3
Brassard
Dowd
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (8,464)
52.4% (6,009)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.3% (1,260)
56.1% (164)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
44.1% (1,635)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Brassard shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Brassard
Dowd
Home
50.6% (5,020)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
47.6% (4,901)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Brassard
Dowd
P1
49.0%
51.7%
P2
49.8%
50.4%
P3
48.4%
50.3%
OT
51.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |