Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.8%). Brassard wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Brassard 78.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Brassard
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (230)
55.2% (625)
-5.6%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
57.1% (7)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (30)
38.2% (220)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Brassard shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Brassard
Dowd
Home
51.7% (143)
53.7% (445)
Away
48.3% (143)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Brassard
Dowd
P1
46.4%
48.8%
P2
50.6%
49.3%
P3
53.9%
54.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%