Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 54.0% vs Dowd 49.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 56.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Brassard
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Brassard
Dowd
Last 8: Brassard 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Brassard
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Brassard
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Brassard
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (334)
50.7% (379)
+4.7%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
64.3% (14)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
46.5% (157)
+28.5%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Brassard is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Brassard shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Brassard
Dowd
Home
52.3% (174)
53.7% (244)
Away
57.9% (183)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Brassard
Dowd
P1
47.1%
53.6%
P2
60.6%
44.1%
P3
57.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
55.2%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2020 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |