Dominic Toninato vs Ryan Poehling
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toninato wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.9% vs Poehling 47.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 76.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 56.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 76.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Toninato
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toninato
Poehling
Last 7: Toninato 5-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
1
Toninato
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (184)
45.1% (437)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.4% (39)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
61.5% (13)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Toninato is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Toninato shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Toninato
Poehling
Home
45.6% (114)
46.6% (232)
Away
38.5% (91)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Toninato
Poehling
P1
37.3%
43.9%
P2
41.7%
49.1%
P3
48.6%
46.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |