Dominic Toninato vs Ryan Poehling
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Toninato wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 48.8% vs Poehling 49.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 60.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 58.9%
Neutral zone
Toninato 51.9%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Toninato
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Toninato
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Toninato
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (103)
50.4% (752)
-2.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
37.0% (27)
+63.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.3% (159)
-20.3%
On power play, Toninato has a +63.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Toninato is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Toninato shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Toninato
Poehling
Home
47.3% (55)
51.2% (467)
Away
48.1% (54)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Toninato
Poehling
P1
55.9%
54.6%
P2
51.6%
46.7%
P3
38.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |