Dominic Toninato vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Toninato wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 45.1% vs Poehling 48.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 62.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 72.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Toninato
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Toninato
Poehling
Last 8: Toninato 5-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toninato
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
2
Toninato
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (769)
49.1% (2,540)
-3.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
50.6% (87)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
42.3% (548)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Toninato is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Toninato shoots left. Poehling is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,135).
Home / Away
Toninato
Poehling
Home
46.3% (404)
49.7% (1,506)
Away
42.9% (431)
46.5% (1,669)
By Period
Toninato
Poehling
P1
40.7%
50.7%
P2
45.4%
47.8%
P3
47.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
41.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
42.0%▼
46.5%
44.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |