Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. O'Connor wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 49.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 73.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 56.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
O'Connor
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (38)
51.0% (1,205)
-8.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
59.3% (108)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
42.3% (234)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. O'Connor is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (27).
O'Connor shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Backlund
Home
42.3% (26)
51.2% (782)
Away
52.6% (19)
49.4% (765)
By Period
O'Connor
Backlund
P1
55.6%
51.5%
P2
37.5%
49.8%
P3
45.5%
49.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%