Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. O'Connor wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Connor 45.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Connor 50.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 63.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 83.0%
17.0%
83.0%
O'Connor
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
O'Connor
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
1
0
O'Connor
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Connor
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (92)
50.4% (1,032)
-8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
52.3% (107)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
40.6% (313)
-0.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. O'Connor is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
O'Connor shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
O'Connor
Backlund
Home
41.8% (67)
48.7% (749)
Away
41.7% (48)
48.1% (703)
By Period
O'Connor
Backlund
P1
42.9%
50.4%
P2
41.9%
50.1%
P3
40.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Connor
40.0%▼
46.5%
41.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |